Insights Weekly Roundup
The Insights Weekly Roundup summarises key reports and news articles found through horizon scanning. This process collates recently published external publications on relevant topics including the economy, consumer and industry sentiment, air/sea access and regeneration.

Insight Weekly Roundup 29/09/2025
Consumer:
- Findings from the latest quarterly Credit Union Northern Ireland Consumer Sentiment Survey show that Northern Ireland consumer confidence improved significantly between May and August 2025. The upswing in sentiment largely reflects easing concerns around household finances, while Northern Ireland consumers also became a little less negative about the general economic outlook over the three-month period. However, nervousness around job prospects has increased somewhat. Credit Union Ireland – NI Consumer Confidence Index (16 September 2025)
- GfK’s long-running UK Consumer Confidence Index decreased by two points to -19 in September. All measures were down in comparison to last month’s announcement. The August 7th decrease in interest rates does not appear to have provided any obvious boost to the financial mood of consumers or drawn attention away from day-to-day cost issues. Looking ahead, with tax rises expected in the autumn budget in November, there is the potential for confidence to fall further in the coming months. GfK – UK Consumer Confidence Index (19 September 2025)
Economy:
- Over the second quarter of 2025, economic activity in Northern Ireland increased by 2.0%. The largest contribution to change this quarter came from increased activity in the Services sector (1.3 pps), followed by the Construction sector (0.4 pps). Over the year economic activity increased by 3.5%, with positive contributions from all sectors. NISRA – Northern Ireland Composite Economic Index (25 September 2025)
Closer to Home:
- Irish consumer sentiment edged fractionally higher in September, effectively signalling no change in consumer thinking of late. Worries about the outlook for the economy, warnings about the looming Budget ’26, and weakness in spending power are all weighing on the mood of Irish consumers at present. That said, the September survey suggests that the current mood of Irish consumers is one of concern rather than collapse. Credit Union Ireland – ROI Consumer Confidence Index (26 September 2025)
Previous Weekly Roundups
Insight Weekly Roundup - 22/09/2025
Insight Weekly Roundup 22/09/2025
Tourism Performance:
- Figures released by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) relating to overnight trips taken in Northern Ireland (NI) between January-March 2025 show that there were over 926,000 overnight trips taken in NI, accounting for over 2.5m nights and £207m expenditure. While the number of trips was broadly on par with 2024, nights and spend both experienced declines. There was an increase in visitors from the Republic of Ireland and Great Britain, while the domestic and other overseas market visitors fell compared to 2024. Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency - Quarter 1 2025 Tourism Statistics (18 September 2025)
Industry:
- According to UN Tourism, almost 690 million tourists travelled internationally between January and June 2025, about 33 million more than in the same period of 2024, though results were mixed among regions and subregions. Europe welcomed nearly 340 million international tourists this first half of 2025 (+4% vs 2024 and +7% vs 2019). Northern, Western and Southern Mediterranean Europe all recorded 3% growth for this period despite uneven monthly results. UN Tourism - World Tourism Barometer: September 2025 (September 2025) #
Economy:
- The Northern Ireland Index Of Services (IOS) increased by 2.4% over the most recent quarter in 2025 (April - June), reaching a new series high, and by 3.4% over the year. UK output also increased by 0.3% over the quarter to reach a UK series high, and 1.2% over the year. NI services output is now 13.5% above the pre-Coronavirus pandemic level seen in Quarter 4 2019 while UK services output is 6.0% above its Quarter 4 2019 level. Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency - Economic Output (18 September 2025)
Closer to home:
- Tourism Ireland’s Situation & Outlook Analysis Reports (SOAR) capture current available data on sectoral issues, the competitive environment, sentiment, and visitor numbers from a range of sources, including industry partners at home and overseas. Tourism Ireland - SOAR September 2025 (September 2025)
Insights Weekly Roundup - 8th September 2025
Insight Weekly Roundup 08/09/2025
Economy:
- Sunny weather helped to lift retail sales in July, according to the latest official figures. Retail sales volumes rose by 0.6% in July, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) - more than analysts had been expecting. However. The quantity of goods bought (volume) in retail sales is estimated to have fallen by 0.6% in the three months to July 2025 when compared with the three months to April 2025. This decline follows four months of consecutive three-month on three-month growth. ONS – Retail Sales July 2024 (5 September 2025)
Industry:
- UK business confidence has experienced a two-point increase to 54% in August, according to the latest Lloyds Business Barometer. It marks the fourth consecutive monthly rise, driven by a five-point increase in trading prospects confidence, reaching its highest level since 2014 at 63%. Despite this upward trend in confidence, economic optimism has seen a slight decline, dropping three points to 44%. Lloyds Bank – Business Barometer August 2025 (29 August 2025).
- The European Travel Commission (ETC) has published the findings of its European mapping study on artificial intelligence use within National Tourism Organisations (NTOs). Insights from the study suggest that the majority of NTOs run short-term pilots designed to gauge feasibility rather than embed AI operationally; employee sentiment is consistently favourable, with curiosity high and overt resistance low; marketing teams report clearer use-cases (such as automated content generation) than research departments, who consider the technology useful but still exploratory; and limited AI expertise, sparse training and the absence of a roadmap are some of the main barriers. ETC - Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Tourism (4 September 2025)
Air Access:
- As part of its Winter schedule, Aer Lingus Regional will more than double services on its Belfast City-East Midlands route, increasing from three to seven flights per week starting 25th October 2025. The airline will also increase its Manchester service to four daily flights for the upcoming Winter season. Belfast City Airport - Aer Lingus Regional announces winter schedule from Belfast City Airport (2 September 2025)
Insights Weekly Roundup - 1st September 2025
Insights Weekly Roundup 01/09/25
Closer to Home:
- The Irish Tourism Industry Confederation (ITIC) today publishes its July Dashboard showing a mixed performance for the sector compared to the same month last year. CSO numbers outline a 1% decline in international visitors during July although visitors from US and Canada were up 13%. Overall visitor spend was down 4%, with the number of nights tourists spent in the country also down 4%. ITIC – Tourism Numbers Dashboard July 2025 (27 August 2025)
Industry:
- New analysis of jobs data by UKHospitality reveals that hospitality has accounted for 53% of all job losses in the UK since the Budget, confirming the sector is the hardest hit by tax increases. It has been revealed that 1in 25 jobs in hospitality have been lost – representing 4.1% of all jobs in the sector, and the percentage of job losses within hospitality, as a proportion of its total workforce, is seven times larger than the rate of the wider UK economy. UKHospitality - Hospitality suffers more than half of all job losses since Budget (August 2025)
Consumer:
- Consumer confidence in Northern Ireland increased in the second quarter of 2025, as people reported feeling more optimistic about their current and future finances, according to new analysis from Danske Bank. The bank’s quarterly Consumer Confidence Index rose by 9 points to 141 in the second quarter of the year (from 132 in the previous quarter and 133 in the same period of 2024) as people also reported improved sentiment about job security and expected spending on high-value items. Danske Bank – Northern Ireland Consumer Confidence Index (21 August 2025)
- Irish consumer confidence improved slightly in August as the US-EU tariff deal reduced uncertainty about the economic outlook. However, rising grocery prices and back-to-school costs prompted a small further weakening in sentiment around household finances. Credit Union IE – ROI Consumer Confidence Index (25 August 2025)
Air Access:
- The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for July 2025 global passenger demand indicating that Total demand was up 4.0% compared to July 2024. International demand rose 5.3% compared to July 2024, while Domestic demand increased 1.9% compared to July 2024.
IATA - Passenger Demand Grows 4% in July (29 August 2025)
Insights Weekly Roundup - 25th August 2025
Insights Weekly Roundup 25/08/25
Consumer:
- GfK’s long-running Consumer Confidence Index increased by two points to -17 in August. Four measures were up and one was down in comparison to last month’s announcement. NIQ - UK Consumer confidence up two points in August to -17 (22 August 2025)
- According to the latest UK Domestic Travel Sentiment Tracker from VisitBritain, 78% of those surveyed in August 2025 intend to take an overnight domestic trip over the next 12 months, down by 1% on August 2024. The top barriers to taking an overnight domestic trip in the next 6 months were the ‘UK weather’ (29%), and the ‘rising cost of living’ (28%). VisitBritain - UK Domestic Travel Sentiment Tracker (21 August 2025)
Industry:
- The optimism of Britain’s hospitality leaders rose in the second quarter of 2025 despite the arrival of new labour costs, the latest Business Confidence Survey from CGA by NIQ and Sona reveals. The exclusive poll shows 41% of leaders feel optimistic about prospects for their business over the next 12 months—up by 7 percentage points from the first quarter, and a second successive increase. NIQ - Business Confidence Survey from CGA by NIQ and Sona (22 August 2025)
- According to the latest Business Insights and Conditions survey from the ONS, 16% of trading UK businesses reported that their turnover had increased in July 2025 compared with the previous calendar month, and was broadly stable from June. In contrast, 24% reported their turnover had decreased, also broadly stable over the same period. Economic uncertainty was the most reported challenge affecting turnover for trading businesses in early August 2025 at 25%, down 7 percentage points from early April (32%). ONS - Business insights and impact on the UK economy (21 August 2025)
Economy:
- There were an estimated 25,000 young people aged 16 to 24 years in Northern Ireland who were not in education, employment or training (NEET) in April to June 2025. This was equivalent to 12.4% of all those aged 16 to 24 years in NI, an increase of 3.0 percentage points from the previous quarter (9.4% in January to March 2025). Department for the Economy - Northern Ireland Labour Force Survey: Young People Not in Education, Employment or Training (22 August 2025)